The long speculation about UPA's
candidature for the 13th President of India has come to an
end post announcement of Pranab Mukherjee's name by Sonia Gandhi. Why
the chief troubleshooter of UPA II is chosen over many significant
others for the presidency during a period of utter crisis has many
political reasons. Whether it's making a smooth passage for Rahul
Gandhi to be the next PM in 2014 or transforming the stigma of policy
paralysis in the North Block or even engineering a stable
constitutional solution to handle uncertainties in the outcome of
2014 general elections mandate, Sonia Gandhi has predictably resolved
all issues at one go by nominating Pranab Mukherjee for presidential
candidate. The kingmaker Sonia Gandhi has always outwitted her
opponents by her sheer political acumen. And that's tried and tested
in last two decades on many occasions.
Now that the country is seriously
heading towards an economic downturn, especially in last two-three
years, the UPA II is urgently looking for a finance minister more
plaint towards to the market forces and bring about significant
changes before 2014. First, as finance minister Pranab Mukherjee
hasn't performed up to industry expectations and the recent tax rows
with Vodafone is a dampener for further foreign direct investment in
Indian market. Second, being a longtime Congress loyalist, Pranab
Mukherjee is obviously an aspirant for the top job of the government
(read PM), which is literally impossible in the current political
scenario. So, the best option left for him to move to the Rashtrapati
Bhavan. In that lies many blessings for the UPA. As a diehard
Congress loyalist, Pranab Mukherjee will bail out UPA in case there
is a fractured mandate in 2014. Moreover, the speculation of an early
poll will be diminished.
As far as the electoral process goes,
Pranab Mukherjee will win the contest with great margin. Despite
TMC's opposition for Pranab Mukherjee's candidature, other political
parties including SP, BSP, JD(U), Left and certain allies of NDA will
unanimously support him. And that could bring well over 60% votes of
the electoral college.
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